Results · Tue, Oct 13 · Against the Odds

Singles6-4+3.92u

Tickets0/3cashed · -3.00u

Arbitrages+6,120RSD on 50,000 · +12.2%

Night total+0.92usingles + tickets, 1u per bet

All time: singles 37-56 · -12.60u with tickets · arbitrage return +6.1% on 350,000 RSD

Why it happened

Overtime saved the Valencia Over

Valencia led 59-34 at half, then Olympiacos won the second half 56-31 to force OT at 90-90. Regulation total 180 would have lost the Over 187.5; OT made it 199. That's why we post totals incl. OT.

Olympiacos owned the glass

Olympiacos took 47 rebounds to Valencia's 32. Mirotic got only 2 in 20 minutes, which sank our top pick and the 6-leg slip.

Partizan went cold

55 points, 4/26 from three and 8 points in the 3rd quarter. Carlik Jones shot 2/11 with 1 rebound (5-leg slip). Lessort still cleared 6.5 rebounds with 9 in 21 minutes off the bench.

Minutes beat edges

Props need playing time. Miller-McIntyre played 14 minutes and had 1 assist (line 6.5), Baugh 15 minutes and 2 assists, Horton-Tucker 19 minutes and 0/4 from three. The 4-leg slip died on three legs like that.

Arbitrage did its job

All 5 arbs cashed, +6,120 RSD on 50,000 (+12.2%). The books disagreed on milestone lines: Tyler Dorsey played 5 minutes (Under 2.5 ast cashed), Carsen Edwards hit 4 threes (Over cashed).

Football: small edges, big variance

Edges were 1-3%. The two away-win picks (Man United, Napoli) lost, but Leipzig-PSV Under 2.5 hit at 3.95 (1-0) and Charlton drew 2-2 at Burnley, so the night still ended slightly up.

Tickets

4-leg slipLost

22.41MaxBet

✓Mathias Lessort Rebounds Over 6.5 @ 2.159
✕Mikael Jantunen Rebounds Under 2.5 @ 2.404
✕Codi Miller-McIntyre Assists Over 6.5 @ 2.151
✕Jaylen Hoard Points Over 11.5 @ 2.024

1 of 4 legs hit-1.00u

5-leg slipLost

47.40Superbet

✓Dustin Sleva Rebounds Over 2.5 @ 1.857
✕Tyson Ward 3PM Over 0.5 @ 2.450
✓Roman Sorkin 3PM Under 0.5 @ 2.350
✕Carlik Jones Rebounds Over 2.5 @ 2.151
✕Kobi Simmons Points Over 7.5 @ 2.077

2 of 5 legs hit-1.00u

6-leg slipLost

95.66Superbet

✕Nikola Mirotic Rebounds Over 3.5 @ 1.902
✕Talen Horton-Tucker Rebounds Over 3.5 @ 2.222
✓Kevin Punter Assists Over 2.5 @ 2.473
✓Luca Vildoza Assists Over 2.5 @ 1.884
✓Devon Hall Points Over 9.5 @ 2.2017
✕Damion BaugH Assists Over 3.5 @ 2.222

3 of 6 legs hit-1.00u

Singles 6-4

✕
Nikola MiroticRebounds Over 3.5 @ 1.90 · Superbet · Valencia vs Olympiacos
2
-1.00u
✕
Talen Horton-Tucker3PM Over 1.5 @ 3.05 · Superbet · Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas
0
-1.00u
✓
Elie Okobo3PM Over 1.5 @ 2.77 · Superbet · Baskonia vs Dubai
2
+1.77u
✓
Mathias LessortRebounds Over 6.5 @ 2.15 · MaxBet · Partizan vs Panathinaikos
9
+1.15u
✓
Fenerbahce – ZalgirisOver 168.5 points (incl. OT) @ 2.80 · Soccerbet
179 pts (99-80)
+1.80u
✓
Kevin PunterAssists Over 2.5 @ 2.47 · Superbet · Barcelona vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
3
+1.47u
✓
Dustin SlevaRebounds Over 2.5 @ 1.85 · Superbet · Fenerbahce vs Zalgiris Kaunas
7
+0.85u
✓
Luca VildozaAssists Over 2.5 @ 1.88 · Superbet · Partizan vs Panathinaikos
4
+0.88u
✕
Jerian Grant3PM Under 0.5 @ 2.75 · Superbet · Partizan vs Panathinaikos
1
-1.00u
✕
Sasha VezenkovAssists Over 1.5 @ 2.75 · MaxBet · Valencia vs Olympiacos
1
-1.00u

Arbitrages RSD on 10,000 each

✓
Carsen Edwards3PM 2.5 · Over 3.00 Soccerbet / Under 1.90 MaxBet
Over cashed · 4
+1,640
✓
McKinley Wright IV3PM 1.5 · Over 3.45 Superbet / Under 1.70 Soccerbet
Under cashed · 0
+1,390
✓
Tyler DorseyAssists 2.5 · Over 2.95 Soccerbet / Under 1.80 Superbet
Under cashed · 0
+1,178
✓
Evan FournierPoints 10.5 · Over 1.97 Superbet / Under 2.47 Admiral
Over cashed · 23
+953
✓
Nicolo MelliRebounds 3.5 · Over 1.95 Superbet / Under 2.50 Soccerbet
Over cashed · 4
+959

18+ only. Settled the morning after from the official EuroLeague box scores and ESPN final scores (game lines include overtime). A void leg (player didn't play) drops out of a ticket and lowers its odds. Past results don't predict future ones. Bet responsibly.