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Against the Odds

The football drawing board: today's tickets from the six Serbian bookmakers. Every ticket is settled the next day.

Today · Sat, Oct 24 · football
  • 14matches · Bundesliga 4, Premier League 3, Serie A 3, LaLiga 2, Eredivisie 1, Primeira Liga 1

Odds as of 11:20 from six Serbian bookmakers. Football bets are 90 minutes.

Football board

10 tickets for Sat, Oct 24

B3 Basketball

Analysed tickets · 10

Ten Superbet tickets from safest to boldest, every one under total odds 70, from 14 matches in six leagues. Picked for winning, not value: league form, the table, goals trends and who played in Europe in midweek. Team news and lineups were not checked; look at them before kick-off.

1Goals bankerFootball · 2 legsSuperbet
  1. 15:30
    Over 2.5 goalsRB Leipzig – Elversberg · Bundesliga
    1.28fair 1.25
  2. 13:30
    Over 2.5 goalsAston Villa – Manchester City · Premier League
    1.44fair 1.43

Four of Leipzig's last five league games had three or more goals, and they conceded four at Real Madrid on Wednesday. City have scored three or more in three straight league games and beat AEK 5-1 on Tuesday.

Total odds1.84
Win chance56.0%
2BankersFootball · 2 legsSuperbet
  1. 20:45
    Lazio to winLazio – Parma · Serie A
    1.50fair 1.47
  2. 21:00
    Atletico Madrid to winAtletico Madrid – Deportivo de A Coruna · LaLiga
    1.28fair 1.28

The two most in-form home sides: Lazio are unbeaten (6-1-0) and won 3-0 at Juventus; Atlético have won five league games in a row.

Total odds1.92
Win chance53.0%
3Home favouritesFootball · 2 legsSuperbet
  1. 16:00
    Arsenal to winArsenal – Everton · Premier League
    1.47fair 1.47
  2. 15:00
    Como to winComo – Sassuolo · Serie A
    1.48fair 1.52

Arsenal have won their last two league games and drew 2-2 at Bayern; Como beat Manchester United 4-1 on Wednesday.

Total odds2.18
Win chance44.9%
4Double chanceFootball · 3 legsSuperbet
  1. 21:00
    Atletico Madrid to winAtletico Madrid – Deportivo de A Coruna · LaLiga
    1.28fair 1.28
  2. 18:30
    Chelsea or drawChelsea – Tottenham · Premier League
    1.30fair 1.28
  3. 18:30
    Villarreal or drawValencia – Villarreal · LaLiga
    1.33fair 1.32

Atlético at home, Chelsea after 5-1 and 2-0 wins against a Spurs side 17th in the table, and Villarreal against 19th-placed Valencia, who have 6 goals in 9 games.

Total odds2.21
Win chance46.2%
5GoalsFootball · 2 legsSuperbet
  1. 15:30
    Over 2.5 goalsAugsburg – Union Berlin · Bundesliga
    1.48fair 1.47
  2. 16:30
    Over 2.5 goalsUtrecht – Zwolle · Eredivisie
    1.54fair 1.52

All of Augsburg's and Utrecht's last five league games had three or more goals.

Total odds2.28
Win chance44.9%
6MediumFootball · 3 legsSuperbet
  1. 21:30
    Porto to winGil Vicente – Porto · Primeira Liga
    1.49fair 1.52
  2. 18:30
    Borussia Dortmund to winBorussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
    1.51fair 1.56
  3. 18:00
    AS Roma or drawNapoli – AS Roma · Serie A
    1.48fair 1.47

Porto are 8-0 in the league, Dortmund unbeaten (4-2-0) with 4 conceded, and Roma unbeaten (5-2-0) with 3 conceded.

Total odds3.33
Win chance28.7%
7MediumFootball · 3 legsSuperbet
  1. 13:30
    Manchester City to winAston Villa – Manchester City · Premier League
    1.63fair 1.61
  2. 20:45
    Both teams NOT to scoreLazio – Parma · Serie A
    1.74fair 1.61
  3. 18:30
    Chelsea or drawChelsea – Tottenham · Premier League
    1.30fair 1.28

City are 7-0 in the league; Parma have scored 4 goals in 7 games and Lazio have conceded 4.

Total odds3.69
Win chance30.0%
8Goals fourFootball · 4 legsSuperbet
  1. 15:30
    Over 2.5 goalsMainz – Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
    1.56fair 1.54
  2. 15:30
    Over 2.5 goalsAugsburg – Union Berlin · Bundesliga
    1.48fair 1.47
  3. 15:30
    Over 2.5 goalsRB Leipzig – Elversberg · Bundesliga
    1.28fair 1.25
  4. 16:30
    Over 2.5 goalsUtrecht – Zwolle · Eredivisie
    1.54fair 1.52

The four most open games on the card: each of these home sides had 3+ goals in at least four of its last five league games.

Total odds4.55
Win chance23.3%
9BolderFootball · 5 legsSuperbet
  1. 16:00
    Arsenal to winArsenal – Everton · Premier League
    1.47fair 1.47
  2. 15:00
    Como to winComo – Sassuolo · Serie A
    1.48fair 1.52
  3. 20:45
    Lazio to winLazio – Parma · Serie A
    1.50fair 1.47
  4. 21:30
    Porto to winGil Vicente – Porto · Primeira Liga
    1.49fair 1.52
  5. 18:30
    Villarreal or drawValencia – Villarreal · LaLiga
    1.33fair 1.32

Five sides with the better form and the better table position.

Total odds6.47
Win chance15.3%
10Long shotFootball · 7 legsSuperbet
  1. 13:30
    Manchester City to winAston Villa – Manchester City · Premier League
    1.63fair 1.61
  2. 18:30
    Borussia Dortmund to winBorussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga
    1.51fair 1.56
  3. 16:30
    Utrecht to winUtrecht – Zwolle · Eredivisie
    1.66fair 1.72
  4. 15:30
    Mainz to winMainz – Werder Bremen · Bundesliga
    1.76fair 1.72
  5. 16:00
    Arsenal to winArsenal – Everton · Premier League
    1.47fair 1.47
  6. 21:00
    Atletico Madrid to winAtletico Madrid – Deportivo de A Coruna · LaLiga
    1.28fair 1.28
  7. 20:45
    Lazio to winLazio – Parma · Serie A
    1.50fair 1.47

Seven wins: the four strongest favourites plus City at Villa and the in-form home sides Utrecht and Mainz.

Total odds20.30
Win chance4.8%

Each ticket is one bet at Superbet, one leg per match, 90 minutes. Win chance and fair odds are our own estimate from league form, the table and the midweek schedule, not the market consensus. Team news and lineups were not checked.

Match by match

Form, team news and the pick for every match we considered tonight.

Aston Villa – Manchester City

Premier League · 13:30

City are top with seven wins from seven (19 scored, 7 conceded) and beat AEK 5-1 in the Champions League on Tuesday.

Villa are 12th but won 1-0 at Newcastle last week and 3-1 against Viking on Wednesday, a day after City played.

City to win (1.63); over 2.5 goals (1.44) · on tickets 1, 7 and 10

Como – Sassuolo

Serie A · 15:00

Como are 5th (4-2-1) and beat Manchester United 4-1 on Wednesday; they won 3-1 at Fiorentina last weekend.

Sassuolo are 13th and lost 4-2 at Frosinone in their last game.

Como to win (1.48) · on tickets 3 and 9

Augsburg – Union Berlin

Bundesliga · 15:30

All of Augsburg's last five league games had three or more goals (4-1, 2-2, 2-3, 2-2, 3-4).

Union are 17th with 5 goals scored and 17 conceded, though their last two games ended 1-0 and 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals (1.48) · on tickets 5 and 8

Mainz – Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · 15:30

Mainz are 5th and won 1-0 at Schalke last week; four of their last five had three or more goals.

Bremen are 8th and unbeaten in their last five league games (two wins, three draws); four of those five had 3+ goals.

Over 2.5 goals (1.56); Mainz to win (1.76) · on tickets 8 and 10

RB Leipzig – Elversberg

Bundesliga · 15:30

Leipzig alternate big wins and losses: 5-0, 0-2, 6-0, 1-6 at Bayern, then lost 4-1 at Real Madrid on Wednesday.

Elversberg are 6th; their last game was a 4-3 win over Augsburg.

Over 2.5 goals (1.28) · on tickets 1 and 8 (we avoid Leipzig to win)

Arsenal – Everton

Premier League · 16:00

Arsenal are 2nd (6-0-1, 5 conceded) and drew 2-2 at Bayern on Wednesday.

Everton are 8th with four draws in seven and lost 2-0 at home to Chelsea last week; they have scored 8 goals.

Arsenal to win (1.47) · on tickets 3, 9 and 10

Utrecht – Zwolle

Eredivisie · 16:30

Utrecht won their last two (3-1 v Willem II, 2-1 at Twente), and all of their last five league games had 3+ goals.

Zwolle are 15th with 22 conceded in 9 games, but beat Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 last week.

Over 2.5 goals (1.54); Utrecht to win (1.66) · on tickets 5, 8 and 10

Napoli – AS Roma

Serie A · 18:00

Roma are 3rd and unbeaten (5-2-0) with only 3 goals conceded; they beat Slovan Bratislava 4-0 on Tuesday.

Napoli are 10th, lost 1-0 at Venezia last week and beat Bodo/Glimt 4-3 on Tuesday.

Roma or draw (1.48) · on ticket 6

Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt

Bundesliga · 18:30

Dortmund are 2nd and unbeaten (4-2-0) with 4 goals conceded, although they drew their last two league games; they won 2-1 at Sabah on Tuesday.

Frankfurt are 11th with 16 conceded in 6 games, including a 6-0 loss at Leipzig.

Dortmund to win (1.51) · on tickets 6 and 10

Chelsea – Tottenham

Premier League · 18:30

Chelsea are 4th and won their last two (5-1 v Bournemouth, 2-0 at Everton).

Tottenham are 17th with one win in seven (3-1 v Coventry last week) and six goals scored.

Chelsea or draw (1.30) · on tickets 4 and 7

Valencia – Villarreal

LaLiga · 18:30

Valencia are 19th with one win in nine and six goals scored.

Villarreal are 12th; they lost 4-3 at Liverpool on Tuesday and drew 0-0 with Elche last weekend.

Villarreal or draw (1.33) · on tickets 4 and 9

Lazio – Parma

Serie A · 20:45

Lazio are 2nd and unbeaten (6-1-0) with 4 goals conceded; they won 3-0 at Juventus last week and did not play in Europe this week.

Parma are 19th, lost their last two 3-0, and have scored 4 goals in 7 games.

Lazio to win (1.50); both teams NOT to score (1.74) · on tickets 2, 7, 9 and 10

Atletico Madrid – Deportivo de A Coruna

LaLiga · 21:00

Atlético are 2nd (7-1-1) and have won five league games in a row, including 2-1 against Real Madrid; they drew 1-1 in Stuttgart on Tuesday.

Deportivo are 9th with five draws in nine and no win in their last five league games.

Atlético to win (1.28) · on tickets 2, 4 and 10

Gil Vicente – Porto

Primeira Liga · 21:30

Porto are top with eight wins from eight (20 scored, 4 conceded), but lost 1-0 at home to PSV on Tuesday.

Gil Vicente are 7th and won their last two, 1-0 at Moreirense and 2-1 at Braga.

Porto to win (1.49) · on tickets 6 and 9

18+ only. Odds move fast and this is not a guarantee. Bet responsibly.

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